Seminar

Past

Negative Rates and the Effective Lower Bound: Theory and Evidence

Silvana Tenreyro

  • Date2 December 2025
  • Time 14h00 - 15h00
  • Room Online and room 4GH

Abstract

With the monetary policy lower bound a re-emerging concern in some locations, we present new insights on the impact of negative policy rates. We develop a new theoretical model to match the empirical evidence on their effects. It features a heterogeneous, oligopolistic banking sector where loan pricing is determined in part by the availability of deposit funding and in part by wholesale funding. The use of non-deposit funding ensures that the bank lending channel of negative rates remains active. We explore the impact of the policy on different types of bank: high-deposit banks may experience a fall in interest margins and profitability, which can result in reduced lending. But this is more than compensated by greater lending from low-deposit banks. We embed this banking sector in an open-economy macroeconomic model, featuring exchange-rate and capital market transmission channels, which continue to work as normal when rates are negative. These non-bank channels, combined with general equilibrium effects and an active bank lending channel, mean that the transmission of negative rates is only somewhat weaker than conventional policy.

Related document(s)

Other seminars

Pre-Trends Ahead of Monetary Policy Surprises: Recovering the Response of Corporate Investment

  • Seminar

  • Séminaire Banque de France

  • Date 13 October 2026

  • Place Online and Room 4 conference space

  • Speaker or organiser Antoine Hubert de Fraisse (London School of Economics)

Details

Past

The Role of Macroeconomic Uncertainty for Endogenous Attention to Central Bank Communication

  • Seminar

  • Séminaire Banque de France

  • Date 6 October 2026

  • Place Online and in Room F148

  • Speaker or organiser Lena Dräger (Leibniz Universität Hannover)

Details

Past

Innovate to Borrow: How Intangibles Shape Finance and Growth

  • Seminar

  • Séminaire Banque de France

  • Date 29 September 2026

  • Place Online and in Room 4 of the congress space

  • Speaker or organiser Victoria Vanasco (CREI)

Details