- Date25 November 2025
- Time 11h00 - 12h15
- Room Auditorium 3
Abstract
Motivated by the prevalence of prediction problems in the economy, we study mar- kets in which firms sell models to a consumer to help improve their prediction. Firms
decide whether to enter, choose models to train on their data, and set prices. The con- sumer can purchase multiple models and use a weighted average of the models bought.
Market outcomes can be expressed in terms of the bias-variance decompositions of the models that firms sell. We give conditions when symmetric firms will choose different modeling techniques, e.g., each using only a subset of available covariates. We also show firms can choose inefficiently biased models or inefficiently costly models to deter entry by competitors.
Related document(s)
Other seminars
To be announced
-
Seminar
-
Economic Theory Seminar
-
Date 8 December 2026
-
Place Auditorium 3 - JJ Laffont
-
Speaker or organiser Piotr Dworczak (Northwestern University)
Details
To be announced
-
Seminar
-
Economic Theory Seminar
-
Date 24 November 2026
-
Place Auditorium 5
-
Speaker or organiser Frank Yang (Stanford University)
Details
To be announced
-
Seminar
-
Economic Theory Seminar
-
Date 17 November 2026
-
Place Auditorium 5
-
Speaker or organiser Qianjun Lyu (University Carlos III of Madrid)
Details