Seminar

Past

Five Facts About Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Four Different Groups of Agents

Eleonora Granziera

  • Date1 April 2025
  • Time 11h30 - 12h30
  • Room salle 4 de l'espace conférence and online

Abstract

There is a growing body of research on the inflation expectations of households, firms, and professional forecasters. However, direct comparison across these agents remains challenging as survey evidence typically stems from different countries, time periods and questionnaires. Furthermore, little is known about the inflation expectations of union representatives, who play critical roles in wage negotiations. This paper addresses these gaps using novel quarterly data from the Norges Bank Expectations’ Survey, harmonized since 2002 across households, business leaders, social partners (employer organizations and trade unions), and economists (professional forecasters and academics). We establish five stylized facts about how different agents in the economy form inflation expectations, how these feed into wage expectations and respond to external shocks, such as changes in electricity prices.

Other seminars

Pre-Trends Ahead of Monetary Policy Surprises: Recovering the Response of Corporate Investment

  • Seminar

  • Séminaire Banque de France

  • Date 13 October 2026

  • Place Online and Room 4 conference space

  • Speaker or organiser Antoine Hubert de Fraisse (London School of Economics)

Details

Past

The Role of Macroeconomic Uncertainty for Endogenous Attention to Central Bank Communication

  • Seminar

  • Séminaire Banque de France

  • Date 6 October 2026

  • Place Online and in Room F148

  • Speaker or organiser Lena Dräger (Leibniz Universität Hannover)

Details

Past

Innovate to Borrow: How Intangibles Shape Finance and Growth

  • Seminar

  • Séminaire Banque de France

  • Date 29 September 2026

  • Place Online and in Room 4 of the congress space

  • Speaker or organiser Victoria Vanasco (CREI)

Details