Seminar

Past

Financial Stability Workshop - One Size Doesn't Fit All: Heterogeneous Depositor Compensation During Periods of Uncertainty

Margarita Tsoutsoura

  • Date30 September 2025
  • Time 14h00 - 15h30
  • Room Salle 6 de l’espace conférence

Abstract

We develop a new approach to identify different categories of depositors during periods of uncertainty and quantify their compensation to remain in the bank. We isolate withdrawals due to liquidity needs, deterioration of fundamentals, and expectation about withdrawal behavior of other depositors. We exploit variation in the cost of withdrawal induced by the maturity expiration of time deposits around unexpected uncertainty events and high-frequency microdata from a large Greek bank. Deposit withdrawals quadrupled in response to a policy uncertainty shock that doubled the short-run credit default swap (CDS) price of Greek sovereign bonds. About two-thirds of this increase is driven by direct exposure to deteriorating fundamentals, and the remainder due to strategic complementarities. We find that depositors need to be offered annualized returns exceeding 50% to remain in the bank during episodes of high uncertainty. Our findings provide new insights into the design of interventions that prevent runs by targeting depositors with the largest propensity to withdraw.

Other seminars

Pre-Trends Ahead of Monetary Policy Surprises: Recovering the Response of Corporate Investment

  • Seminar

  • Séminaire Banque de France

  • Date 13 October 2026

  • Place Online and Room 4 conference space

  • Speaker or organiser Antoine Hubert de Fraisse (London School of Economics)

Details

Past

The Role of Macroeconomic Uncertainty for Endogenous Attention to Central Bank Communication

  • Seminar

  • Séminaire Banque de France

  • Date 6 October 2026

  • Place Online and in Room F148

  • Speaker or organiser Lena Dräger (Leibniz Universität Hannover)

Details

Past

Innovate to Borrow: How Intangibles Shape Finance and Growth

  • Seminar

  • Séminaire Banque de France

  • Date 29 September 2026

  • Place Online and in Room 4 of the congress space

  • Speaker or organiser Victoria Vanasco (CREI)

Details