Seminar

Past

Trouble Every Day: Monetary Policy in an Open Emerging Economy

Giovanni Ricco

  • Date14 May 2024
  • Time 14h00 - 15h30
  • Room Auditorium 4

Résumé

Four factors drive the high-frequency impact of monetary policy announcements in South Africa: affecting short-, mid-, and long-term yield curve, as well as country risk. Controlling for information effects, we build IVs to study the transmission of conventional monetary policy, forward guidance, term premia, country risk and information shocks. Our findings reveal textbook contractionary effects of conventional monetary policy. Policy communication, particularly forward guidance, has persistent effects on output and prices. Country risk is a novel and powerful channel of monetary policy communication in emerging markets. By defending its independence, re-stating its inflation target objective, and addressing external shocks, the central bank can mitigate country risk and generate strong expansionary effects. (with Ekaterina Pirozhkova and Nicola Viegi)

Other seminars

To be announced

  • Seminar

  • Macroeconomics Seminar

  • Date 1 December 2026

  • Place Auditorium 4

  • Speaker or organiser Mishel Ghassibe (CREI, Barcelona)

Détails

Past

Interest Rate Surprises When the Fed Doesn't Speak

  • Seminar

  • Macroeconomics Seminar

  • Date 3 November 2026

  • Place Auditorium 4

  • Speaker or organiser Silvia Miranda Aggripino (Oxford University)

Détails

Past

The EU Miracle: When 75 Million Reach High Income

  • Seminar

  • Macroeconomics Seminar

  • Date 13 October 2026

  • Place Auditorium 4

  • Speaker or organiser Basile Grassi (Bocconi University)

Détails