Seminar
Past
Subways or Minibuses? Privatized Provision of Public Transit
Lucas Conwell
- Date9 November 2023
- Time 11h00 - 12h30
- Room Auditorium 4
Abstract
Workers in developing countries waste significant time commuting, and gaps in public transit constrain access to productive jobs. In many cities, privately-operated minibuses provide 50–100% of urban transit, at the cost of long wait times and poor personal safety for riders. Should developing-country cities follow the typical recommendation of bus rapid transit or subway investments or rather optimize this existing, home-grown network? I build a micro-founded model of privatized shared transit subject to externalities in matching between buses and passengers. I then estimate the model with newly collected data on minibus and passenger queues in Cape Town and stated user preferences for exogenously-varied commute attributes. I find that Cape Town’s existing bus rapid transit decreased welfare, net of costs, but socially-optimal minibus fares and commuter taxes correct matching externalities, particularly benefit low-skill workers, and reduce spatial misallocation. Government actions to improve security bring even more substantial welfare gains.
Other seminars
To be announced
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Seminar
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Behavior, Institutions, and Development Seminar
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Date 10 December 2026
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Place Auditorium 3 - JJ Laffont
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Speaker or organiser Eliana La Ferrara (Harvard University)
Details
To be announced
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Seminar
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Behavior, Institutions, and Development Seminar
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Date 3 December 2026
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Place Auditorium 4
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Speaker or organiser Karen Macours (Paris School of Economics)
Details
To be announced
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Seminar
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Behavior, Institutions, and Development Seminar
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Date 26 November 2026
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Place Auditorium 4
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Speaker or organiser Michela Carlana (Harvard Kennedy School)
Details