- Date23 June 2023
- Time 12h45 - 13h45
- Room Auditorium 4 (First floor - TSE Building)
Résumé
This paper experimentally studies how people learn about their environment when their subjective understanding of the environment, their mental model, is misspecified. We use people's tendency to hold optimistic beliefs about their abilities to generate a significant amount of model misspecification and investigate the implications of overconfidence as a misspecified mental model on learning about own ability and a fundamental. Consistent with the theoretical predictions, overconfident subjects develop pessimistic beliefs about the fundamental and take growingly suboptimal actions. Inconsistent with the theoretical prediction, endogenous feedback does not exacerbate the extent of suboptimal behavior. Investigating how subjects learn about their own ability reveals that abundant feedback "weakens" misspecified mental models. The "weakening" of mental models is more pronounced with endogenous feedback and explains why endogenous feedback may not exacerbate the extent of suboptimal behavior.
Other seminars
To be announced
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Seminar
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IAST Lunch Seminar
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Date 11 December 2026
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Place Auditorium 4 (first floor - TSE building)
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Speaker or organiser Jesse Fenneman
Détails
To be announced
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Seminar
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IAST Lunch Seminar
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Date 4 December 2026
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Place Auditorium 4 (first floor - TSE building)
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Speaker or organiser SeungHwan Kim
Détails
To be announced
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Seminar
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IAST Lunch Seminar
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Date 20 November 2026
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Place Auditorium 4 (First Floor - TSE Building)
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Speaker or organiser Laurenz Guenther
Détails