- Date5 May 2026
- Time 14h00 - 15h30
- Room Auditorium 4
Résumé
Households’ inflation expectations depend on their financial conditions, even after controlling demographic factors and expectations about the economic outlook. Specifically, savers report higher inflation expectations than borrowers. We establish these regularities using individual level data from the NY Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations, the Public Policy Survey and the Household Finance Survey. We make sense of these findings in a life-cycle model in which ambiguity-averse agents are borrowers and savers at different points in their lives. The wedge in expectations naturally arises as high inflation corresponds to the worst-case scenario for savers, while the opposite is true for borrowers.
Related document(s)
Other seminars
To be announced
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Seminar
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Macroeconomics Seminar
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Date 1 December 2026
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Place Auditorium 4
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Speaker or organiser Mishel Ghassibe (CREI, Barcelona)
Détails
Interest Rate Surprises When the Fed Doesn't Speak
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Seminar
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Macroeconomics Seminar
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Date 3 November 2026
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Place Auditorium 4
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Speaker or organiser Silvia Miranda Agrippino (Oxford University)
Détails
Past
The EU Miracle: When 75 Million Reach High Income
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Seminar
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Macroeconomics Seminar
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Date 13 October 2026
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Place Auditorium 4
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Speaker or organiser Basile Grassi (Bocconi University)
Détails