Seminar

Past

How weak are weak factors? Uniform inference for signal strength in signal plus noise models

Vadim Gorin

  • Date22 May 2026
  • Time 11h00 - 12h15
  • Room Auditorium 4

Abstract

We discuss four classical signal-plus-noise models: the factor model, spiked sample covariance matrices, the sum of a Wigner matrix and a low-rank perturbation, and canonical correlation analysis with low-rank dependencies. The objective is to construct confidence intervals for the signal strength that are uniformly valid across all regimes: strong, weak, and critical signals. We demonstrate that traditional Gaussian approximations fail in the critical regime. Instead, we introduce a universal transitional distribution that enables valid inference across the entire spectrum of signal strengths. The approach is illustrated through applications in macroeconomics and finance.

Other seminars

To be announced

  • Seminar

  • MAD-Stat. Seminar

  • Date 4 March 2027

  • Place Auditorium JJ Laffont

  • Speaker or organiser Agnes Lagnoux (Ecole Normale Supérieure - Université Paris Sciences & Lettres)

Details

To be announced

  • Seminar

  • MAD-Stat. Seminar

  • Date 3 December 2026

  • Place Auditorium JJ Laffont

  • Speaker or organiser Eleanor Archer (Université Paris-Dauphine)

Details

To be announced

  • Seminar

  • MAD-Stat. Seminar

  • Date 26 November 2026

  • Place A définir

  • Speaker or organiser Jason D. Hartline (Northwestern University)

Details