Seminar

Past

Deep Learning of Multivariate Extremes via a Geometric Representation

Jordan Richards

  • Date5 December 2024
  • Time 11h00 - 12h15
  • Room Auditorium 6

Résumé

The study of geometric extremes, where extremal dependence properties are inferred from the deterministic limiting shapes of scaled sample clouds, provides an exciting approach to modelling the extremes of multivariate data. These shapes, termed limit sets, link several popular extremal dependence modelling frameworks. Although the geometric approach is becoming an increasingly popular modelling tool for multivariate extremes, current inference techniques are limited to a low dimensional setting (d ≤ 4), and generally require rigid modelling assumptions. In this work, we propose a range of novel theoretical results to aid with the implementation of the geometric extremes framework and introduce the first approach to modelling limit sets using deep learning. By leveraging neural networks, we construct asymptotically-justified and flexible semi-parametric models for extremal dependence of high-dimensional data. We showcase the efficacy of our approach by modelling the complex extremal dependencies between meteorological and oceanographic variables in the North Sea.

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