Seminar

Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Disaggregated Economies

Gernot Müller (University of Tübingen)

November 26, 2024, 11:30–12:30

BDF, Paris

Room Salle 5GH et en ligne

Séminaire Banque de France

Abstract

The jointly optimal monetary and fiscal policy mix in a multi-sector New Keynesian model with sectoral government spending and productivity shocks entails a separation of roles: Sectoral government spending optimally adjusts to sectoral output gaps and inflation rates—a policy supported by evidence from sectoral federal procurement data. Monetary policy optimally focuses on aggregate stabilization, but deviates from a zero-inflation target; in a model calibration to the U.S., however, it effectively approximates a zero-inflation target. Because monetary policy is a blunt instrument and government spending trades off stabilization against the optimal-level public good provision, the first best is not achieved.