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Gilles Stoltz (Ecole Normale Supérieure, Paris - HEC)
Toulouse: TSE, May 31, 2013, 13:45–15:00, room MF 323
In this talk I will describe a setting of sequential learning in which many expert forecasts are available at each round to predict quantitative outcome. The question is how to combine these expert forecasts. We will do so in a robust manner, not assuming any stochasticity of the sequence of...
Gábor Uhrin (Toulouse School of Economics)
TSE, May 31, 2013, 12:30–13:00, room MF 429
Donald Cox (Boston College), and Philipp Heeb (EDB)
Toulouse: IAST, May 31, 2013, 11:00–12:30, room MF323
Ray Fisman (Columbia Business School)
Toulouse: TSE, May 30, 2013, 11:00–12:30, room MF 323
We study the wealth accumulation of Indian state politicians using public disclosures required of all candidates. The annual asset growth of winners is 3-5 percentage points higher than runners-up. By performing a within-constituency comparison for very close elections, we rule out a range of...
Paolo Zaffaroni (Imperial College London)
Toulouse: TSE, May 28, 2013, 15:30–17:00, room MF 323
Factor model methods recently have become extremely popular in the theory and practice of large panels of time series data. Those methods rely on various factor models which all are particular cases of the Generalized Dynamic Factor Model (GDFM) introduced in Forni, Hallin, Lippi and Reichlin (2000...
Susan Dynarski (University of Michigan)
This study would not have been possible without extraordinary cooperation and assistance from the charter schools in the study, from Dr. Kamalkant Chavda and the staff of the Boston Public Schools (BPS), and from Carrie Conaway and the staff of the Massachusetts Department of Elementary and...
Sébastien Pouget (Toulouse School of Economics)
Toulouse: TSE, May 28, 2013, 14:45–15:30, room MC 203
Tobias Adrian (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Toulouse: TSE, May 28, 2013, 14:00–14:45, room MC 203
We present a theory of financial intermediary leverage cycles within a dynamic model of the macroeconomy. Intermediaries face risk-based funding constraints that give rise to procyclical leverage. The pricing of risk varies as a function of intermediary leverage, and asset return exposure to...
David Dillenberger (University of Pennsylvania)
Toulouse: TSE, May 28, 2013, 11:00–12:30, room MS 001
Rosario Crino (CEMFI, Madrid)
Toulouse: TSE, May 27, 2013, 17:00–18:30, room MS001
We argue that the large and growing North-South trade imbalances arisen over the last three decades may have exacerbated wage inequality worldwide. In particular, we show that in a standard Heckscher-Ohlin setup with a continuum of goods, a Southern trade surplus is associated with higher skill...