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Toulouse, December 4–5, 2025, room TSE/IAST Building
Marcelo Moreira (Fundacao Getulio Vargas)
TSE, December 2, 2025, 15:30–16:50, room Auditorium 4
This paper highlights the importance of finding all roots for the Continuously Updating Generalized Method of Moments (CU-GMM) estimator and Likelihood Ratio (LR)-based tests. Traditional numerical optimization methods often fail to locate global minima due to the non-convexity of objective...
Silvana Tenreyro (London School of Economics)
December 2, 2025, 14:00–15:00, BDF, Paris, room Online and room 4GH
With the monetary policy lower bound a re-emerging concern in some locations, we present new insights on the impact of negative policy rates. We develop a new theoretical model to match the empirical evidence on their effects. It features a heterogeneous, oligopolistic banking sector where loan...
Imelda (Geneva Graduate Institute)
Toulouse: TSE, December 1, 2025, 11:00–12:15, room Auditorium 4
Low Emission Zones (LEZs) —restricted areas for vehicles that fail to meet certain environmental standards— are becoming an increasingly popular policy tool to encourage the adoption of low emission vehicles. Despite this, little is known about their optimal design, particularly regarding which...
Elena Carletti
Toulouse: TSE, December 1, 2025, 11:00–12:30, room Auditorium 3
November 28, 2025, room Building TSE
Sandra Sequeira (London School of Economics)
November 27, 2025, 11:00–12:30, room Auditorium 4
This paper documents the malleability of prosocial behavior and trust in response to economic shocks. We focus on a low-income setting where prosociality is central to the integration of refugees into ultra-poor host communities. We generate an exogenous positive shock to financial security through...
Michael McMahon (Oxford University)
November 27, 2025, –12:30, BDF, Paris, room Room 6GH and video
This study investigates how different methods of communicating monetary policy uncertainty affect public understanding and expectation formation. Using two complementary experiments, we assess both interpretation and behavioral responses to forecast uncertainty. In Part A, 300 members of the UK...
Tobias Broer (Paris School of Economics)
TSE, November 25, 2025, 14:00–15:30, room Auditorium 4
We document systematic differences in macroeconomic expectations across US households and rationalize our findings with a theory of information choice. We embed this theory into an incomplete-markets model with aggregate risk. Our model is quantitatively consistent with the pattern of expectation...
Krishna Dasaratha (Boston University)
Toulouse: TSE, November 25, 2025, 11:00–12:15, room Auditorium 3
Motivated by the prevalence of prediction problems in the economy, we study mar- kets in which firms sell models to a consumer to help improve their prediction. Firms decide whether to enter, choose models to train on their data, and set prices. The con- sumer can purchase multiple models and use...
