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Beatrice Weder di Mauro (Geneva Graduate Institute)
February 3, 2026, 11:30–12:30, BDF, Paris, room Room 4GH and online
The voluntary carbon market (VCM) is built on the premise that one offset credit compensates one tonne of emissions. While a growing body of evidence has raised concerns about the environmental integrity of many credits, much less is known about how access to voluntary offsets affects firms’...
José Munoz Alvarado
Toulouse: TSE, January 22, 2026, 17:00–18:00, room Auditorium 3 JJ Laffont
Start-ups, though typically small, play a disproportionate role in driving innovation, employment growth, and productivity. A small subset of high-growth firms, often referred to as “rising superstars,” accounts for a large share of these gains and may also generate significant spillovers for local...
Morgane Austern (Harvard University)
Toulouse: TSE, January 8, 2026, 09:30–11:00, room Auditorium 6
Concentration inequalities for the sample mean, like those due to Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Bentkus, are valid for any sample size but overly conservative, yielding confidence intervals that are unnecessarily wide. The central limit theorem (CLT) provides asymptotic confidence intervals with...
Toulouse, January 8–9, 2026
Jean-Jacques Forneron (Boston University)
TSE, December 17, 2025, 15:30–16:50, room Auditorium 4
This paper considers filtering, parameter estimation, and testing for potentially dynamically misspecified state-space models. When dynamics are misspecified, filtered values of state variables often do not satisfy model restrictions, making them hard to interpret, and parameter estimates may fail...
Kevin Dano (Princeton University)
TSE, December 16, 2025, 15:30–16:50, room Auditorium 4
This paper studies a dynamic multinomial logit model for panel data with fixed effects. The outcome depends on lagged dependent variables, strictly exogenous regressors, and individual-specific fixed effects, with type I extreme value errors. We construct the complete set of moment conditions that...
Rustam Jamilov (Oxford University)
December 16, 2025, 11:30–12:30, BDF, Paris, room Room 4GH and online
This paper studies aggregate implications of the geography of financial frictions in Europe. Using proprietary data from the European Central Bank's Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE), we document three new facts. First, there is substantial cross-country heterogeneity in the...
Gemma Dipoppa (Columbia University)
Toulouse: IAST, December 16, 2025, 11:30–12:30, room Auditorium 4 (First floor - TSE Building)
All states adopt systems to surveil political activists. How do they decide whom to watch and why? We study the logic of state surveillance using the first complete individual-level database of those monitored by a state -- 152,000 Italians born between 1816 and 1932, encompassing both democratic...
Nageeb Ali (Penn State University)
Toulouse: TSE, December 16, 2025, 11:00–12:15, room Auditorium 3
We model college admissions with incomplete information and interdependent values. Colleges face a winner's curse in selecting applicants. We establish conditions under which a unique equilibrium in threshold strategies exists. We study three applications of this framework. First, we evaluate how...
Sylvain Catherine (University of Pennsylvania)
Toulouse: TSE, December 15, 2025, 14:00–15:30, room Auditorium 3
We study the interest-rate sensitivity of household wealth in a realistic life-cycle model. The model predicts that middle-aged and wealthier households should hold more long-term assets, as observed in the US data. Consequently, optimal portfolio rules imply that falling interest rates increase...
