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TSE Building, June 30 to July 1, 2025
Theodor Misiakiewicz (Yale University)
Toulouse: TSE, June 26, 2025, 11:00–12:15, room Auditorium 3
In this talk, we consider random feature ridge regression (RFRR), a model that has recently gained renewed interest for investigating puzzling phenomena in deep learning—such as double descent, benign overfitting, and scaling laws. Our main contribution is a general deterministic equivalent for the...
Jenny Chan
June 24, 2025, 11:30–12:30, BDF, Paris, room Vidéo et salle 4 de l'espace conférence
How does trade fragmentation affect inflationary pressures? What is the response of monetary policy needed to sustain inflation at target? To answer these questions, we develop a heterogeneous agent, open-economy model featuring imperfect international risk-sharing. The model captures both the...
Toulouse, TSE/IAST Building, June 23–24, 2025
Garance Genicot (Georgetown University)
June 19, 2025, 15:30–17:00, room Auditorium 6
June 19, 2025, 09:55–16:30, room Auditorium 5
Alisdair McKay (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis)
June 18, 2025, 15:00–16:00, BDF, Paris, room Room 6 Grand Hall and video
To evaluate the evolution of the macro-economy under alternative assumptions on monetary policy, it suffices, under weak structural assumptions, to know the causal effects of monetary shocks on macroeconomic outcomes. The existing empirical literature estimates the effects of monetary shocks to the...
TSE, June 18–19, 2025, room Auditorium A3 et Auditorium A4
David Thesmar (MIT Sloan)
June 16, 2025, 14:00, room A3
This paper studies expectations formation when the underlying process has fat tails. Using a large sample of firm sales growth expectations, we document three facts: (i) the relationship between forecast revisions and future forecast errors is strongly non-linear, (ii) the distribution of sales...
Mariacristina De Nardi (University of Minnesota)
June 16, 2025, 11:30, room A3
This paper develops a dynamic life-cycle model to examine how savings and labor supply decisions are shaped by health, marital, and wage risks, as well as by bequest motives. The model incorporates endogenous human capital accumulation and retirement, child-rearing costs, and the risks associated...
