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Laurenz Guenther
Toulouse: IAST, May 22, 2026, 11:30–12:30, room Auditorium 4 (First floor - TSE Building)
Research on the rise of populism has largely overlooked the explanation populists themselves advance: that they fill political representation gaps, defined as discrepancies between mainstream parties’ policies and the “popular will.” We test this claim in an information-provision experiment...
Vadim Gorin (University of California, Berkeley)
Toulouse: TSE, May 22, 2026, 11:00–12:15, room Auditorium 4
We discuss four classical signal-plus-noise models: the factor model, spiked sample covariance matrices, the sum of a Wigner matrix and a low-rank perturbation, and canonical correlation analysis with low-rank dependencies. The objective is to construct confidence intervals for the signal strength...
May 22, 09:00 to May 23, 2026, 15:15, room Auditorium Jean-Jacques Laffont
Fouad El Ouardighi (ESSEC Business School)
Toulouse: TSE, May 21, 2026, 11:00–12:15, room Auditorium 5
This paper examines which country should undertake forest restoration when production and deforestation jointly degrade environmental absorption capacity. We develop a two-country dynamic game in which a forest owner derives revenues from deforestation while a non-owner benefits from production;...
Juliana Londoño-Vélez (University California - Los Angeles)
May 21, 2026, 11:00–12:15, TSE, room Auditorium 4
We study the long-run nonpecuniary returns to selective higher education using Colombia’s Ser Pilo Paga, which expanded access to high-quality universities for low-income students above a test-score cutoff. Combining an RD design with original survey data collected more than a decade after college...
Paris, May 21–22, 2026
Karun Adusumilli (University of Pennsylvania, USA)
TSE, May 19, 2026, 15:30–16:50, room Auditorium 4
This article introduces a framework for evaluating statistical decisions under both prior ambiguity and likelihood misspecification. We begin with an ambiguity set — a frequentist model that pairs a possibly misspecified likelihood with every possible prior — and uniformly expand it by a Kullback–...
Christopher Clayton
Toulouse, May 19, 2026, 14:00–15:30, room Auditorium 4
Hegemonic powers exert influence on other countries by threatening the alteration of financial and trade relationships. Mechanisms that generate gains from integration, such as external economies of scale and specialization, also increase the hegemon’s power because in equilibrium they make other...
Cristina Manea (BIS)
May 19, 2026, 11:30–12:30, Banque de France, Paris, room Room 4 and Online
We introduce targeted Taylor rules: monetary policy rules which allow for different reactions to demand– and supply–driven inflation. This new concept aligns with the strategy of the Federal Reserve — as reflected in its official communications. Estimates of this new type of rule suggest that U.S....
Mark Koyama (George Mason University)
Toulouse: IAST, May 19, 2026, 11:30–12:00, room Auditorium 5 (Second floor - TSE Building)
We model the political economy of the English Reformation to show how the Dissolution of the Monasteries (1536-1540) cemented Protestantism. Property rights over former Catholic monastic lands were insecure for as long as there was a possibility of return to Catholicism. Beneficiaries of monastic-...
