Séminaire

The Failure of a Clearinghouse: Empirical Evidence

Guillaume Vuillemey (HEC Paris)

4 décembre 2017, 12h30–14h00

Salle MF 323

Fédération des Banques Françaises Seminar

Résumé

We provide the first detailed empirical analysis of the failure of a derivatives clearinghouse: the Caisse de Liquidation, which defaulted in Paris in 1974. Using archival data, we find three main causes of the failure: (i) a weak pool of investors, (ii) the inability to contain the growth of a large member position, and (iii) risk-shifting decisions by the clearinghouse. Risk-shifting incentives aligned the clearinghouse’s interests with those of the defaulting member, induced delays in the liquidation of the defaulted position, and led private renegotiation attempts to fail. Our results have implications for current policy debates on the design and resolution of clearing institutions.

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