Document de travail

Equilibrium Effects in Complementary Markets: Electric Vehicle Adoption and Electricity Pricing

Pascal Heid, Kevin Remmy et Mathias Reynaert

Résumé

The transition to electric vehicles (EVs) shifts the complementary market for passenger transport from oil to electricity. We develop and estimate a joint equilibrium model linking the German vehicle and electricity markets, emphasizing the timing of EV charging as generation costs and emissions vary intraday. A 10% EV stock raises wholesale electricity prices by about 2%, creating a sizable pecuniary externality. Timevarying tariffs shift charging to cheaper hours and spur adoption, only partially alleviating the aggregate price pressure. Time-varying tariffs sustain EV adoption when the electricity market faces higher demand or carbon costs.

Mots-clés

Electric vehicles; electricity markets; charging; complementary markets;

Codes JEL

  • L5: Regulation and Industrial Policy
  • L6: Industry Studies: Manufacturing
  • L9: Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities
  • Q4: Energy
  • Q5: Environmental Economics

Référence

Pascal Heid, Kevin Remmy et Mathias Reynaert, « Equilibrium Effects in Complementary Markets: Electric Vehicle Adoption and Electricity Pricing », TSE Working Paper, n° 24-1589, octobre 2024, révision octobre 2025.

Voir aussi

Publié dans

TSE Working Paper, n° 24-1589, octobre 2024, révision octobre 2025