The microstructural foundations of rough volatility models

Résumé

It has been recently shown that rough volatility models reproduce very well the statistical properties of low frequency financial data. In such models, the volatility process is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter of order 0.1. The goal of this talk is to explain how such fractional dynamics can be obtained from the behaviour of market participants at the microstructural scales. Using limit theorems for Hawkes processes, we show that a rough volatility naturally arises in the presence of high frequency trading combined with metaorders splitting. This is joint work with Thibault Jaisson.