Document de travail

Do costs fall faster than revenues? Dynamics of renewables entry into electricity markets

Richard Green et Thomas-Olivier Léautier

Résumé

In many countries, entry of renewable electricity producers has been supported by subsidies and financed by a tax on electricity consumed. This article is the first to analytically derive the dynamics of the generation mix, subsidy, and tax as renewable capacity increases. This enables us to complement and extend previous work by providing analytical expressions for previously obtained simulation results, and deriving additional results. The analysis yields three main findings. First, the subsidy to renewable may never stop, as the value of the energy produced may decrease faster than the cost as renewable capacity increases. Second, high renewable penetration leads to a discontinuity in marginal values, after which the subsidy and tax grow extremely rapidly. Finally, reducing the occurrence of negative prices, for example by providing renewable producers with financial instead of physical dispatch insurance, yields significant benefits.

Mots-clés

Electric power markets; Renewables; Public policy;

Codes JEL

  • D61: Allocative Efficiency • Cost–Benefit Analysis
  • L11: Production, Pricing, and Market Structure • Size Distribution of Firms
  • L94: Electric Utilities

Référence

Richard Green et Thomas-Olivier Léautier, « Do costs fall faster than revenues? Dynamics of renewables entry into electricity markets », TSE Working Paper, n° 15-591, juillet 2015.

Voir aussi

Publié dans

TSE Working Paper, n° 15-591, juillet 2015