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Jean-Jacques Forneron (Boston University)
TSE, 17 décembre 2025, 15h30–16h50, salle Auditorium 4
This paper considers filtering, parameter estimation, and testing for potentially dynamically misspecified state-space models. When dynamics are misspecified, filtered values of state variables often do not satisfy model restrictions, making them hard to interpret, and parameter estimates may fail...
Kevin Dano (Princeton University)
TSE, 16 décembre 2025, 15h30–16h50, salle Auditorium 4
This paper studies a dynamic multinomial logit model for panel data with fixed effects. The outcome depends on lagged dependent variables, strictly exogenous regressors, and individual-specific fixed effects, with type I extreme value errors. We construct the complete set of moment conditions that...
Rustam Jamilov (Oxford University)
16 décembre 2025, 11h30–12h30, BDF, Paris, salle Room 4GH and online
This paper studies aggregate implications of the geography of financial frictions in Europe. Using proprietary data from the European Central Bank's Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE), we document three new facts. First, there is substantial cross-country heterogeneity in the...
Gemma Dipoppa (Columbia University)
Toulouse : IAST, 16 décembre 2025, 11h30–12h30, salle Auditorium 4 (First floor - TSE Building)
All states adopt systems to surveil political activists. How do they decide whom to watch and why? We study the logic of state surveillance using the first complete individual-level database of those monitored by a state -- 152,000 Italians born between 1816 and 1932, encompassing both democratic...
Nageeb Ali (Penn State University)
Toulouse : TSE, 16 décembre 2025, 11h00–12h15, salle Auditorium 3
We model college admissions with incomplete information and interdependent values. Colleges face a winner's curse in selecting applicants. We establish conditions under which a unique equilibrium in threshold strategies exists. We study three applications of this framework. First, we evaluate how...
Sylvain Catherine (University of Pennsylvania)
Toulouse : TSE, 15 décembre 2025, 14h00–15h30, salle Auditorium 3
We study the interest-rate sensitivity of household wealth in a realistic life-cycle model. The model predicts that middle-aged and wealthier households should hold more long-term assets, as observed in the US data. Consequently, optimal portfolio rules imply that falling interest rates increase...
Todd Gerarden (Cornell University)
Toulouse : TSE, 15 décembre 2025, 11h00–12h15, salle Auditorium 4
This study examines the effects of tariffs imposed by the U.S. on imported solar panels. We first provide clear evidence that tariff-exposed firms shifted production to locations that did not face tariffs, and that domestic prices increased relative to other markets. We then develop a structural...
Ilaria Pretelli
Toulouse : IAST, 12 décembre 2025, 12h45–13h45, salle Auditorium 4 (First floor - TSE Building)
Child fostering is widespread in much of the world, yet the evolutionary mechanisms shaping fostering decisions remain poorly understood. One possibility is that fostering can be strategically leveraged to improve mothers’ reproductive prospects after union dissolution by facilitating repartnering...
Yunan Ji (Georgetown University)
TSE, 11 décembre 2025, 15h45–17h00, salle Auditorium 4
End-of-life care represents a major fiscal and social challenge facing aging economies across the globe. We study how expanding hospice services affects public spending and patient well-being near the end of life. Using 1,518 hospice facility openings across U.S. counties between 1999 and 2019, we...
Mathieu Couttenier (Ecole Normale Superieure de Lyon)
11 décembre 2025, 11h00–12h30, salle Auditorium 4
Public speeches by leaders can serve as a cost-effective tool for fostering peace, yet their effectiveness remains uncertain, particularly in divided societies experiencing violent conflict. This paper examines the impact of the Catholic Pope’s peace-promoting speeches on conflict dynamics in...
