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3 juillet 2012
Michel Le Breton, Dominique Lepelley et Hatem Smaoui
n° 12-313, juin 2012, révision avril 2014
The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the probability of casting a decisive vote for a class or random electorate models encompassing the celebrated IC and IAC models. The emphasis is on the impact of correlation across votes on the order of magnitude of this event. Our proof techniques use...
Jean-Paul Azam et Véronique Thelen
n° 12-316, juin 2012
A simple game-theoretic model is first presented to bring out the conditions for terrorist organizations to choose to perpetrate their attacks in a host country other than at home. This emphasizes the diluted impact of counter-terrorism measures implemented in the host-country on the number of...
Adrien Blanchet et Guillaume Carlier
n° 12-321, juin 2012
We study a class of games with a continuum of players for which Cournot-Nash equilibria can be obtained by the minimisation of some cost, related to optimal transport. This cost is not convex in the usual sense in general but it turns out to have hidden strict convexity properties in many relevant...
Bruno Jullien et Wilfried Sand-Zantman
n° 12-327, juin 2012, révision décembre 2017
We consider zero-rating by Internet service providers. We analyze the implications of offering sponsored data plans that allow content providers to pay for traffic on behalf of their consumers. These plans boost consumption of high-value content and decrease the networks'incentives to exclude low-...
Helmuth Cremer, Philippe De Donder, Paul Dudley et Frank Rodriguez
n° 12-319, juin 2012
Christian Gollier et Sébastien Pouget
n° 12-371, juin 2012
Jean Tirole
juin 2012, révision septembre 2012
Classic analyses of sovereign debt make no predictions concerning the allocation of risk between the market and the official sector or among official sector creditors. To open the black box of the composition of a sovereign's foreign liabilities, this paper develops a new framework and...
Pierre Dubois et Marta Rubio-Codina
Paris, n° 105-106, juin 2012, p. 155–184
We estimate semiparametrically the impact of the Mexican conditional cash transfer program Oportunidades on the time mothers and older sisters spend taking care of children aged under 3, using the randomization of a program placement and the methodology in Lewbel (2000). Results support the...
