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Mariia Artemova (Tinbergen Institute Amsterdam;Université d'Amsterdam)
TSE, 18 mars 2025, 15h30–16h50, salle Auditorium 4
We propose a flexible rolling window estimation procedure which improves forecasting accuracy of misspecified linear autoregressive models. The method assigns different weights to data points in the observed sample which can be useful in the presence of data generating processes featuring...
Olivier Coibion (University of Texas, Austin)
TSE, 18 mars 2025, 14h00–15h30, salle Auditorium 4
We implement a survey-based randomized information treatment that generates independent variation in the inflation expectations and the uncertainty about future inflation of European households. This variation allows us to assess how both first and second moments of inflation expectations...
Davide Debortoli (CREI, Universitat Pompeu Fabra;BSE)
18 mars 2025, 11h30–12h30, BDF, Paris, salle Room 4 espace conférences and online
We measure the inflation-unemployment tradeoff associated with monetary easing and tightening, during booms and recessions, using a novel nonlinear Proxy-SVAR approach. We find evidence of significant nonlinearities for the U.S. economy (1973:M1 - 2019:M6): stimulating economic activity during...
Gilat Levy (London School of Economics)
Toulouse : TSE, 18 mars 2025, 11h00–12h30, salle Auditorium 3
Competing research lines start and grow as information is gradually uncovered by scientists who choose their fields driven by career incentives. We build a strategic experimentation framework in which agents irreversibly specialize in one of two risky fields, and information updates arrive more...
Nima Haghpanah (Penn State University)
TSE, 17 mars 2025, 14h15–15h30, salle Auditorium 4
We ask when additional data collection by a monopolist to engage in price discrimination monotonically increases or decreases weighted surplus. To answer this question, we develop a model to study endogenous market segmentation subject to residual uncertainty. We give a complete characterization...
Guillermo Ordonez (University of Pennsylvania, USA)
Toulouse : TSE, 17 mars 2025, 11h00–12h30, salle Auditorium 6
Stock markets play a dual role: improve capital allocation across firms by conveying information about their fundamentals and provide liquidity to traders by quickly turning stocks into cash. We propose a trading model in which these two roles are endogenously related: if stocks are used more...
Lint Barrage (ETH, Zurich)
Toulouse : TSE, 17 mars 2025, 11h00–12h15, salle Auditorium 4
We assemble global spatially disaggregated panel data describing ambient particulate levels and transport, population, and economic and polluting activities. These data indicate the importance of country level determinants of pollution, of the equilibrium process that separates or brings together...
Johannes Schmidt Hieber (University of Twente)
Toulouse : TSE, 17 mars 2025, 11h00–12h15, salle Auditorium 3
The recent statistical theory of neural networks focuses on nonparametric denoising problems that treat randomness as additive noise. Variability in image classification datasets does, however, not originate from additive noise but from variation of the shape and other characteristics of the same...
Matthieu Lapeyre
Toulouse : TSE, 13 mars 2025, 17h00–18h00, salle Auditorium 3 JJ LAFFONT
Come and join us for an engaging session as we delve into the case study of the highly debated merger between TF1 and M6, two giants of the French television landscape. Discover the strategic motivations behind this ambitious project and the reasons that led to its eventual abandonment at the end...
Yanos Zylberberg (Bristol University)
13 mars 2025, 11h00–12h30, salle Auditorium 4
Floating population: migration with(out) family and the spatial distribution of economic activity ∗ Cl ement Imbert Joan Monras Marlon Seror ́ Yanos Zylberberg January 24, 2025 Abstract A key, yet under-explored, aspect of migration is the decision to leave behind dependent family members. We...
