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David Dorn (University of Zurich)
Toulouse : TSE, 6 octobre 2016, 11h00–12h30, salle MF 323
Has rising trade integration between the U.S. and China contributed to the polarizationof U.S. politics? Analyzing outcomes from the 2002 and 2010 congressional elections, we detect an ideological realignment that is centered in trade-exposed local labor markets and that commences prior to the...
François Bachoc (University Paul Sabatier - IMT)
Toulouse : TSE, 6 octobre 2016, 11h00–12h15, salle MS 001
Gaussian process regression consists in predicting a continuous realization of a Gaussian process, given a finite number of observations of it. When the covariance function of the Gaussian process is known, or when the statistician selects and fix a given covariance function, this prediction is...
Benjamin Born (University of Bonn - Bonn Graduate School of Economics)
TSE, 4 octobre 2016, 17h00–18h30, salle MS 001
A growing recent literature relies on a precautionary pricing motive embedded in representative agent DSGE models with sticky prices and wages to generate negative output effects of uncertainty shocks. We assess whether this model channel is consistent with the data. We build a New Keynesian DSGE...
Ivan Canay (Northwestern University)
TSE, 4 octobre 2016, 15h30–17h00, salle MS 001
In the regression discontinuity design, it is common practice to asses the credibility of the design by testing whether the means of baseline covariates do not change at the cutoff (or threshold) of the running variable. This practice is partly motivated by the stronger implication derived by Lee (...
Joao Correia da silva (Toulouse School of Economics)
Toulouse : TSE, 4 octobre 2016, 11h00–12h30, salle MS 001
A principal can relax the participation constraints of the agents by designing the (otherwise off the equilibrium path) beliefs following disagreement using a mediation device that, with a small probability, manipulates the messages received from the agents to originate spurious rejections that are...
Ulrich Doraszelski (University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School)
TSE, 3 octobre 2016, 14h00–15h30, salle MF 323
We study industries where prices are not limited to their allocative and distributive roles, but also serve as an investment into lower costs or higher demand. While our model focuses on learning-by-doing and the cost advantage that it implies, our conclusions also apply to industries driven by...
Christian Gollier (Toulouse School of Economics)
3 octobre 2016, 12h30–14h00, salle MF 323
We assume that the ex-post utility of an agent facing a menu of lotteries depends upon the actual payoff together with its forgone best alternative, thereby allowing for the expost emotion of regret. An increase in the risk of regret is obtained when the actual payoff and its forgone best...
Stefan Lamp (Toulouse School of Economics)
Toulouse : TSE, 3 octobre 2016, 11h00–12h15, salle MS 003
Durable purchases require households to forecast future utility flows, which might be subject to behavioral biases such as projection bias, salience and present bias. I test for such biases in a market where exogenous variations in weather can be directly linked to decision utility: the market for...
Gani Aldashev (Free University of Brussel)
Toulouse : IAST, 30 septembre 2016, 11h30–12h30, salle MS001
Redmond, Washington, 30–1 septembre 2016
