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David Thesmar (MIT Sloan)
16 juin 2025, 14h00, salle A3
This paper studies expectations formation when the underlying process has fat tails. Using a large sample of firm sales growth expectations, we document three facts: (i) the relationship between forecast revisions and future forecast errors is strongly non-linear, (ii) the distribution of sales...
Mariacristina De Nardi (University of Minnesota)
16 juin 2025, 11h30, salle A3
This paper develops a dynamic life-cycle model to examine how savings and labor supply decisions are shaped by health, marital, and wage risks, as well as by bequest motives. The model incorporates endogenous human capital accumulation and retirement, child-rearing costs, and the risks associated...
Hammamet, 16–18 juin 2025
Violeta I. Haas
Toulouse : IAST, 13 juin 2025, 12h45–13h45, salle Auditorium 4 - (First floor -TSE Building)
Electoral gains by radical-right parties have sparked intense debate over whether mainstream parties should engage in cooperative arrangements with them. While existing research has concentrated on national-level cooperations in the form of government participation and programmatic accommodation,...
13 juin 2025, 09h00–17h00, salle Auditorium 3 Jean-Jacques Laffont
Dan Kim (TechInsights) et Hassan Khan
12 juin 2025, 17h00–18h15, Zoom
Mathias Beiglboeck (University of Vienna)
Toulouse : TSE, 12 juin 2025, 11h00–12h15, salle Auditorium 3
We provide a brief introduction to the theory of causal transport and adapted Wasserstein distances. In particular, we discuss recent applications in mathematical finance and nonlinear optimal transport. Additionally, we highlight open questions and possible future research directions.
Bâtiment TSE, 10 juin 2025, salle Auditorium A3
Diego Känzig (Northwestern University)
5 juin 2025, 11h30–12h30, BDF, Paris, salle Video and Room 6 Grand Hall
We develop a novel measure of climate policy uncertainty based on newspaper coverage. Our index spikes during key U.S. climate policy events—including presidential announcements on international agreements, congressional debates, and regulatory disputes—and shows a recent upward trend. Using an...
Alexander Meister (Rostock University)
Toulouse : TSE, 5 juin 2025, 11h00–12h15, salle Auditorium 3
: Expected values weighted by the inverse of a multivariate density or, equivalently, Lebesgue integrals of regression functions with multivariate regressors occur in various areas of applications, including estimating average treatment effects, nonparametric estimators in random coefficient...
