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Christian Gouriéroux, Joann Jasiak et Alain Montfort
vol. 218, n° 2, octobre 2020, p. 714–735
Christoph Mikulaschek, Saurabh Pant et Beza Tesfaye
vol. 64, n° 4, octobre 2020, p. 773–790
The 'hearts and minds' model of combating rebellions holds that civilians are less likely to support violent opposition groups if the government provides public services and security. Building on this model, we argue that a political event that raises popular expectations of future public service...
Christian Bontemps et Rohit Kumar
vol. 218, n° 2, octobre 2020, p. 373–389
In this paper, we consider inference procedures for entry games with complete information. Due to the presence of multiple equilibria, we know that such a model may be set identified without imposing further restrictions. We complete the model with the unknown selection mechanism and characterize...
Aditya Goenka, Lin Liu et Manh-Hung Nguyen
n° 20-1150, octobre 2020, révision janvier 2021
This paper studies an optimal growth model where health expenditures (alternatively lockdowns) can be made to reduce infectivity of the disease when there is an infectious disease with SIR dynamics and infections can cause disease related mortality. We study implications of two different SIR models...
Victor Gay
n° 20-1151, octobre 2020
This article describes a comprehensive geographic information system of Third-Republic France: the TRF-GIS. It provides annual nomenclatures and shapefiles of administrative constituencies of metropolitan France from 1870 to 1940, encompassing general administrative constituencies (départements,...
Alexandre de Cornière et Miklos Sarvary
n° 20-1152, octobre 2020, révision août 2021
The growing influence of internet platforms acting as content aggregators is one of the most important challenges facing the media industry. We develop a simple model to understand the impact of third-party content bundling by a social platform that has a monopoly on showing user-generated content...
Jeremy Bowles et Horacio Larreguy
n° 20-112, octobre 2020
We examine how candidate selection into the supply of policy information determines its electoral effects. In a nationwide debate initiative designed to solicit and rebroadcast policy promises from Liberian legislative candidates, we randomized the encouragement of debate participation across...
n° 20-1153, octobre 2020
Ingela Alger, Laura Juarez, Miriam Juarez-Torres et Josepa Miquel-Florensa
vol. 69, n° 1, octobre 2020, p. 107–171, 65 pages
How does informal risk sharing affect incentives to avoid risk? While moral hazard is expected under formal insurance, theory suggests that the incentive effects of informal risk sharing are ambiguous: internalization of the external effects of transfers on others may reduce or enhance incentives...
Jihyun Kim et Nour Meddahi
vol. 218, n° 2, octobre 2020, p. 690–713
Nowadays, a common method to forecast integrated variance is to use the fitted value of a simple OLS autoregression of the realized variance. However, non-parametric estimates of the tail index of this realized variance process reveal that its second moment is possibly unbounded. In this case, the...