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Andreas Alfons (University of Rotterdam - Erasmus)
Toulouse : TSE, 18 septembre 2025, 11h00–12h15, salle Auditorium 3
Graphical models serve as effective tools for visualizing conditional dependencies between variables. However, as the number of variables grows, interpretation becomes increasingly difficult, and estimation uncertainty increases due to the large number of parameters relative to the number of...
Jihyun Kim (Sungkyunkwan University)
TSE, 16 septembre 2025, 15h30–16h50, salle Auditorium 4
This paper investigates instrumental variable (IV) estimation in linear instrumental variable regressions with heavy-tailed distributions. We allow for the possibility of weak instruments in the conventional sense, meaning that the first-stage regression coefficients may converge to zero as the...
Anette Fasang
Toulouse : IAST, 16 septembre 2025, 11h30–12h30, salle Auditorium 4 (First floor - TSE Building)
Recent reports suggest that post-millennial generations are the first to be worse off than their parents, on average, in several affluent capitalist democracies. However, we lack systematic country comparisons of generational shifts in wealth accumulation and wealth inequality, which would enable...
Luigi Iovino
16 septembre 2025, 11h30–12h30, BDF, Paris, salle Salle 1 Driant and online
We link the consensus inflation forecasts of major banks to interest rates in 18 advanced economies during 1989-2022. We detect horizon-increasing overreaction: high expected inflation today predicts inflation overestimation and higher real returns on nominal bonds, especially at long maturities....
George Mailath (University of Pennsylvania, USA)
Toulouse : TSE, 16 septembre 2025, 11h00–12h15, salle Auditorium 3
Emanuele Tarantino (European Commission)
TSE, 15 septembre 2025, 14h15–15h30, salle Auditorium 4
The European Commission’s ongoing review of the Merger Guidelines comes as Europe seeks to accelerate innovation and bolster firms’ competitiveness. Against this backdrop, the report first examines the relationship between scale and investment in the digital backbone, documenting investment...
Claire Palandri (Chicago University)
Toulouse : TSE, 15 septembre 2025, 11h00–12h15, salle Auditorium 4
Factory farms account for an ever-growing share of animal agriculture worldwide, marked by intensive production practices and heavy geographic concentration. These operations generate large quantities of waste and have long raised serious concerns for environmental quality and public health,...
Julien Sauvagnat
Toulouse : TSE, 12 septembre 2025, 12h30–14h00, salle Auditorium 4
We estimate the causal impact of hiring difficulties on firms’ outcomes. Using a shift share identification strategy, we show that hiring difficulties have negative effects on firms’ employment, capital, sales, and profits. Quantitatively, a one-standarddeviation change in firm exposure to hiring...
Copenhague, 12 septembre 2025
Silvia Vannutelli
11 septembre 2025, 11h00–12h30, salle Auditorium 4
Stimulus transfers are widely used during economic downturns, yet they are often poorly targeted from an economic perspective. I show that political incentives might help explain this discrepancy. I study one of the largest stimulus tax credits in Italy which excluded the poorest individuals and...
