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Jérôme Renault et Bruno Ziliotto
vol. 124, novembre 2020, p. 122–139
We introduce the model of hidden stochastic games, which are stochastic games where players observe past actions and public signals on the current state. The natural state variable for these games is the common belief over the current state of the stochastic game. In this setup, we present an...
Michel Moreaux et Jean-Pierre Amigues
n° 1157, novembre 2020
Anna D’Annunzio et Antonio Russo
vol. 66, n° 11, novembre 2020, p. 5040–5058
Anna D’Annunzio, M. Mardan et Antonio Russo
vol. 51, n° 3, octobre 2020, p. 786–804
Jeremy Bowles et Horacio Larreguy
n° 20-112, octobre 2020
We examine how candidate selection into the supply of policy information determines its electoral effects. In a nationwide debate initiative designed to solicit and rebroadcast policy promises from Liberian legislative candidates, we randomized the encouragement of debate participation across...
n° 20-1153, octobre 2020
Soeren Henn, Horacio Larreguy et John Marshall
n° 20-1154, octobre 2020
Jean-François Bonnefon et Iyad Rahwan
vol. 24, n° 12, octobre 2020, p. 1019–1027
Intelligent machines do not really think ‘fast and slow’ as per dual-process models of human psychology, but this analogy can impact the decisions of various stakeholders. These stakeholders include engineers, user experience designers, regulators and ethicists, and the end users who interact with...
Alexandre de Cornière et Miklos Sarvary
n° 20-1152, octobre 2020, révision août 2021
The growing influence of internet platforms acting as content aggregators is one of the most important challenges facing the media industry. We develop a simple model to understand the impact of third-party content bundling by a social platform that has a monopoly on showing user-generated content...
Jihyun Kim et Nour Meddahi
vol. 218, n° 2, octobre 2020, p. 690–713
Nowadays, a common method to forecast integrated variance is to use the fitted value of a simple OLS autoregression of the realized variance. However, non-parametric estimates of the tail index of this realized variance process reveal that its second moment is possibly unbounded. In this case, the...