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James E. Alt, Amalie Jensen, Horacio Larreguy, David D. Lassen et John Marshall
n° 22-1292, janvier 2022
While social pressure is widely believed to influence voters, evidence that informa-tion passed between social ties affects beliefs, policy preferences, and voting behav-ior is limited. We investigate whether information about unemployment shocks dif-fuses through networks of strong and mostly weak...
Leopoldo Fergusson, Horacio Larreguy et Juan Felipe Riano
n° 22-1293, janvier 2022
We develop a model of the politics of state capacity building undertaken by incum-bent parties that have a comparative advantage in clientelism rather than in public goods provision. The model predicts that, when challenged by opponents, clientelistic incumbents have the incentive to prevent...
Péter Bayer, Joel Brown, Johan Dubbeldam et Mark Broom
n° 22-1291, janvier 2022
Felipe Gonzalez et Mounu Prem
n° 22-1287, janvier 2022
We study the protest behavior of teenagers linked to a student killed by a stray bullet coming from a policeman in Chile. We use administrative data to follow the schoolmates of the victim and those living nearby the shooting in hundreds of protest and non-protest days. We find that police violence...
Pierre Dubois, Rachel Griffith et Martin O'Connell
n° 22-1286, janvier 2022, révision mars 2022
The adoption of barcode scanning technology in the 1970's gave rise to a new form of data; scanner data. Soon afterwards researchers began using this new resource, and since then a large number of papers have exploited scanner data. The data provide detailed price, quantity and product...
Christian Hellwig et Nicolas Werquin
n° 22-1284, janvier 2022, révision janvier 2026
We study a Mirrleesian economy with labor income, consumption, and retirement savings or bequests. We derive a novel representation of optimal non-linear income and savings distortions at the top that highlights the role of consumption inequality and consumption responses to tax changes. Our...
Brandice Canes-Wrone, Christian Ponce de Leon et Sebastian Thieme
n° 22-129, janvier 2022
A longstanding question is whether policy uncertainty reduces private fixed investment in developing democracies. Yet studying the question empirically has proven challenging given that economic activity can cause as well as result from policy uncertainty. We investigate this issue within the...
Augustin Tapsoba
n° 22-1295, janvier 2022
Being able to assess conflict risk at local level is crucial for preventing political violence or mitigating its consequences. This paper develops a new approach for predicting the timing and location of conflict events from violence history data. It adapts the methodology developed in Tapsoba (...
Christia Fotini, Horacio Larreguy, Norhan Muhab et Elizabeth Parker-Magyar
n° 22-1294, janvier 2022
Women’s exposure to gender-based and intimate partner violence (GBV and IPV) is particularly acute due to COVID-19, especially in the Global South. We test whether edutainment interventions that have been shown to success-fully combat GBV and IPV when delivered in person can be effectively de-...
Charlotte Cavaillé, Daniel L. Chen et Karine Van Der Straeten
n° 22-1297, janvier 2022
Many questions in political science require knowing not only what voters want (pref-erence orientation) but also how much they want it (preference intensity). In this paper, we assess two methods for measuring individual differences in preference intensity. One method — issue importance items —...
