Recherche avancée

Theodor Misiakiewicz (Yale University)

Toulouse : TSE, 26 juin 2025, 11h00–12h15, salle Auditorium 3

In this talk, we consider random feature ridge regression (RFRR), a model that has recently gained renewed interest for investigating puzzling phenomena in deep learning—such as double descent, benign overfitting, and scaling laws. Our main contribution is a general deterministic equivalent for the...

Séminaire

Jenny Chan

24 juin 2025, 11h30–12h30, BDF, Paris, salle Vidéo et salle 4 de l'espace conférence

How does trade fragmentation affect inflationary pressures? What is the response of monetary policy needed to sustain inflation at target? To answer these questions, we develop a heterogeneous agent, open-economy model featuring imperfect international risk-sharing. The model captures both the...

Séminaire

Toulouse, TSE/IAST Building, 23–24 juin 2025

Workshop

Garance Genicot (Georgetown University)

19 juin 2025, 15h30–17h00, salle Auditorium 6

Séminaire

19 juin 2025, 09h55–16h30, salle Auditorium 5

Workshop

Alisdair McKay (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis)

18 juin 2025, 15h00–16h00, BDF, Paris, salle Room 6 Grand Hall and video

To evaluate the evolution of the macro-economy under alternative assumptions on monetary policy, it suffices, under weak structural assumptions, to know the causal effects of monetary shocks on macroeconomic outcomes. The existing empirical literature estimates the effects of monetary shocks to the...

Séminaire

TSE, 18–19 juin 2025, salle Auditorium A3 et Auditorium A4

Conférence

David Thesmar (MIT Sloan)

16 juin 2025, 14h00, salle A3

This paper studies expectations formation when the underlying process has fat tails. Using a large sample of firm sales growth expectations, we document three facts: (i) the relationship between forecast revisions and future forecast errors is strongly non-linear, (ii) the distribution of sales...

Séminaire

Mariacristina De Nardi (University of Minnesota)

16 juin 2025, 11h30, salle A3

This paper develops a dynamic life-cycle model to examine how savings and labor supply decisions are shaped by health, marital, and wage risks, as well as by bequest motives. The model incorporates endogenous human capital accumulation and retirement, child-rearing costs, and the risks associated...

Séminaire

Hammamet, 16–18 juin 2025

Conférence